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March Madness Simulator

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Select two teams to analyze

Pick from the Round of 64 or search any team

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March Madness Simulator

2026 Edition

Full disclosure: This was built by someone who knows just enough about basketball analytics to be dangerous, and just enough about code to ship something that mostly works. The entire thing was vibe coded with Claude in a single session.

The math is real (z-scores, possession modeling, logistic regression), but the person who designed it would like you to know that he is, by his own admission, an idiot. If you use this to make decisions involving money, that’s on you.

This is for fun. Treat it like a conversation starter, not gospel. March Madness exists precisely because models like this are wrong all the time.

Not intended as advice for gambling, wagering, or any financial decisions. No warranties, express or implied. All data from Barttorvik.

Disclaimer: This simulator is for entertainment and educational purposes only. It is not intended as advice for gambling, wagering, or any financial decisions. The creator is not a statistician, sports analyst, or anyone who should be trusted with important predictions. This entire application was vibe coded in a single session with AI assistance. The model does its best with real data from Barttorvik, but “its best” and “accurate” are different words for a reason. Past performance does not predict future results. March Madness is called “Madness” for a reason. If a 16-seed wins, don’t @ us. No warranties, express or implied. Use at your own risk and amusement.